Conf = B1G ------ State = A
Mascot = Nittany Lio ------ Coach = Jeff TambroniGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.1958618 home-field advantage = -1.11 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Colgate Patriot (10- 8, 96.4) 14- 9 209 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 93.1) 15- 5 215 H Princeton Ivy (13- 4, 97.7) 10-11 222 H Navy Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.2) 13- 7 301 A Yale Ivy ( 5- 8, 94.1) 15- 9 308 A Cornell Ivy (18- 1, 99.9) 13-12 312 H Robert Morris NEC ( 9- 6, 89.9) 22- 8 323 H Ohio State B1G (14- 3, 96.9) 9-13 329 A Maryland B1G (14- 4, 98.9) 8-13 406 A Michigan B1G ( 7- 7, 95.1) 11- 8 412 H Johns Hopkins B1G ( 6- 8, 95.2) 10- 4 418 H Rutgers B1G ( 7- 9, 94.1) 12- 4 426 H Johns Hopkins B1G ( 6- 8, 95.2) 13-12 501 N Maryland B1G (14- 4, 98.9) 8-10 510 H Colgate Patriot (10- 8, 96.4) 13-11 518 N Notre Dame ACC ( 9- 5, 98.7) 14-12 524 N Cornell Ivy (18- 1, 99.9) 9-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 H Colgate 14- 9 5 2 + 2.01 209 A Villanova 15- 5 10 4 + 2.93 215 H Princeton 10-11 -1 1 - -2.65 222 H Navy 13- 7 6 6 -0.19 301 A Yale 15- 9 6 3 + 2.90 308 A Cornell 13-12 1 -2 + 3.73 312 H Robert Morris 22- 8 14 9 0.00 323 H Ohio State 9-13 -4 2 --- -6.46 329 A Maryland 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.31 406 A Michigan 11- 8 3 2 0.94 412 H Johns Hopkins 10- 4 6 4 1.86 418 H Rutgers 12- 4 8 5 1.76 426 H Johns Hopkins 13-12 1 4 - -3.14 501 N Maryland 8-10 -2 0 -1.43 510 H Colgate 13-11 2 2 -0.99 518 N Notre Dame 14-12 2 0 + 2.43 524 N Cornell 9-11 -2 -1 -0.38UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H Ohio State 9-13 -4 2 --- -6.46 215 H Princeton 10-11 -1 1 - -2.65 329 A Maryland 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.31 426 H Johns Hopkins 13-12 1 4 - -3.14OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 H Colgate 14- 9 5 2 + 2.01 209 A Villanova 15- 5 10 4 + 2.93 301 A Yale 15- 9 6 3 + 2.90 308 A Cornell 13-12 1 -2 + 3.73 518 N Notre Dame 14-12 2 0 + 2.43
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 98.28 Power Rank................. 5 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 90.66 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 1 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6995 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .6543 RPI Rank................... 3 Champ. Probability ...... 6.8 Championship Rank ......... 5 Selection sum ........... 14 Selection Rank ............ 5 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 115. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 4 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 105. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 6 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7